No position
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
Laurentdepau
0x38ab8ff9075817800f5545b05156e63c146aab66
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.72
- Realized PnL
- -$0.07
- Win rate
- 8.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $2.65
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.62
- Potential payout
- $2.64
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $2.51
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $2.47
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $2.43
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $2.31
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $2.31
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $2.29
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $2.23
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.03
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $1.46
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $1.46
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $1.42
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $1.38
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $1.26
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Yeom Tae-yeong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 99.6% 0.92 shares
- Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 99.7% 2.65 shares
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 99.8% 2 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.4% 2.16 shares
- Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.2% 1.39 shares
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 99.5% 2.31 shares
- Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 99.7% 1.44 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.1% 1.47 shares
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 99.7% 1.01 shares
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.4% 2.12 shares
- Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.3% 1.31 shares
- Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?No 99.4% 119.52 shares