Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $254.07
- Potential payout
- $56.46K
- Potential profit
- $56.21K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$237.98
Polymarket Trader
0x38C041c19aB637E67240645997B422CDEd7053f9-1758054080047
0x38c041c19ab637e67240645997b422cded7053f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $488.88
- Realized PnL
- -$181.89
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $173.51
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- $23.51
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $737.82
- Potential profit
- $737.82
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $460.47
- Potential profit
- $460.47
- User PnL
- -$18.52
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334.67
- Potential profit
- $334.67
- User PnL
- -$34.39
Yes position
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.1
- Potential profit
- $136.1
- User PnL
- -$8.88
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.67
- Potential profit
- $116.67
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.43
- Potential profit
- $116.43
- User PnL
- -$58.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.02
- Potential profit
- $104.02
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $61.3
- Potential payout
- $95.78
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $12.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Harry Kane: 2+ goals
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $74.07
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Harry Kane: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.57
- Potential profit
- $65.57
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.99
- Potential profit
- $53.99
- User PnL
- -$39.85
Yes position
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.59
- Potential profit
- $43.59
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.47
- Potential profit
- $39.47
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.46
- Potential profit
- $31.46
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.22
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.39
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.38
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.69
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.14
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
Ends Sep 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$5.32
Yes position
Will Uber say "Lucid" during earnings call?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.93
Yes position
OpenAI browser by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump say "Golden Age of America" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.91
Yes position
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$121
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$132.48
Yes position
Will the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$253.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 38% 39.47 shares
- England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes 39% 43.59 shares
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes 34% 14.71 shares
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsYes 27% 74.07 shares
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsYes 61% 65.57 shares
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes 45.4% 23.8 shares
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes 72.8% 41.19 shares
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes 42% 23.81 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 98.1% 18.25 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 6% 64.67 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 7% 71.43 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Yes 15% 33.33 shares