Polymarket Trader

afflilbru

0x38cf62d2fee064fc6316775a4bde92d4a0f17148

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.96
Realized PnL: $2.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "N Word" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Trump say "Soleimani" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.51
Potential profit: $101.51
User PnL: -$35.51

Yes position

Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will Trump say "Georgia" 10+ times during Tele-Rallies?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hippo" or "Hippopotamus" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$19.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during events with Brazilian president?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "Braggadocious" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Trump say "Weightlifter" or "Weightlifting" during WHCA Dinner events?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kuwait" this week?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tiger" during Chinese State Banquet?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Trump say "COVID" or "Pandemic" during Bret Baier interview?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer" or "Buy a Dell Computer" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Trump say "Psychological" or "Psychologist" or "Psychology" during WHCA Dinner events?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.66
Potential profit: $95.66
User PnL: -$21.05

Yes position

Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $14.96
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $73.04
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $87
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.33
Potential profit: $79.33
User PnL: -$7.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $651.79

Yes position

ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.97

Yes position

Will Trump say "Luck" this week? (December 8 - 14)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.87

No position

Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

No position

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.37

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ethiopia" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77

Yes position

Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" during National Agriculture Day events?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 19?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

Yes position

Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.05

Yes position

Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71

No position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.99

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.99

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iowa" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fat" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.99

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.05

Yes position

Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eighth War" during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Will Trump say "West Virginia" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by June 30?

Yes 18% 12 shares
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

Yes 7% 7.39 shares
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

Yes 15% 10 shares
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

Yes 16% 9.61 shares
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

Yes 25% 73 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Yes 30% 30 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Yes 75% 35 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Yes 77% 6.96 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Wisconsin events?

Yes 4% 24 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Yes 3.1% 99.99 shares
Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in May?

Yes 26% 5 shares
Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in May?

Yes 38% 11 shares