Polymarket Trader

Mar14n

0x38cfef4e9a08fc65e3a65ba51548cf15e4031d60

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $735.67
Realized PnL: -$4.64K
Win rate: 35.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.29K
Potential profit: $22.29K
User PnL: -$139.98

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $6.57K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.91K
Potential profit: $5.91K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $141.4
Potential payout: $4.64K
Potential profit: $4.49K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $41.41

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.43K
Potential profit: $4.43K
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $35.02
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $25.03

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $2.57K
User PnL: -$218.4

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Israel invade Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $406.83
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $835.4
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $206.83

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$298

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $152.41
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 7.91x
User PnL: -$47.59

Yes position

Zelenskyy x Putin talk before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $956.98

Yes position

Ethereum all time high by August 22?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.1

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.9%
Multiplier: 3.72x
User PnL: $127.8

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.7%
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $40.7

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$50.13

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$645.48

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$650.98

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.3K

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.06K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 8,000 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.6% 1,204.82 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 1,242.24 shares
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 0.4% 2,801.96 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 14,285.71 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 2,941.18 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 1,923.08 shares
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?

Yes 1.5% 5,905.5 shares
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?

Yes 1.5% 668.67 shares