Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $862.07
- Potential profit
- $862.07
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
pleasefademe
0x38d68b3c6e8880af66dec8227cc72e8f1a95d10a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $225.35
- Realized PnL
- $3.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $130.99
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $68.99
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $60.99
Yes position
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $148.34
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$26.85
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $92.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $7.9
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $59.1
Dune 3 position
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
Ends Dec 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.39
- Multiplier
- 8.13x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $945.91
Yes position
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.45
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.41
Yes position
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.32
Yes position
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.13
Yes position
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.22
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.6
Yes position
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.9
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will Lot 14 Gustav Klimt’s “Waldabhang bei Unterach am Attersee (Forest Slope in Unterach on the Attersee)” sell for 75m or more?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.89
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Greed" 2+ times during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.41
No position
Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.75
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake news" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.18
Yes position
Will None in 2025 occur?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.51
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.96
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.66
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.9
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 2.9% 379.31 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 2.9% 482.76 shares
- Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Yes 24% 236.21 shares
- Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No 87.2% 138.88 shares
- Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 17% 498.91 shares
- Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 15% 400 shares
- Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?Yes 22% 130 shares
- Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?Yes 23% 100 shares
- Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?Yes 22.9% 200 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp 8% 124.83 shares
- Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No 72% 138.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 4PM ETUp 23% 53.04 shares