No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$80
Polymarket Trader
thefish40
0x38d83d9438bc8c0701ee991925339ad6de33dc31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $56.4
- Realized PnL
- $403.77
- Win rate
- 39.1%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $56.4
- Potential payout
- $239.99
- Potential profit
- $183.59
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.86
- Potential profit
- $236.86
- User PnL
- -$17.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.43
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.37
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.14
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.51
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.45
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.7
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Los Ratones position
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Los Ratones position
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$27.3
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.2
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$95
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$157.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 7.2% 236.86 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 32% 250 shares
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?Yes 72% 218.15 shares
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 23% 38.5 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 71% 699.99 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 46% 200 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 58% 18.12 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 69% 300 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel 50.1% 200 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No 41% 18.4 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 41% 120 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No 54% 100 shares