No position
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $68.9
- Potential payout
- $69
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.24
Polymarket Trader
PENGU-584
0x38e8f3930df74b213b04020c3bb46c5d4b1b750f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.9
- Realized PnL
- $94.56
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Tjen position
Set 1 Winner: Tjen vs Joint
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Israel strike Syria on July 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?
Ends Jul 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will muse-spark have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $0-$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $0-$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?No 99.9% 56 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?No 99.5% 69 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?Yes 99.6% 99 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?No 99.9% 130 shares
- Will muse-spark have the best AI model on May 23, 2026?No 99.9% 69.01 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?Yes 99.6% 132 shares
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?No 99.9% 71.29 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?No 99.8% 9.22 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30?Yes 99.7% 61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No 99.2% 46 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?Yes 99.9% 63.77 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by February 28?No 99.8% 18.51 shares