Polymarket Trader

0x38F2DE66652B6600646e0fe8FA57F1980C118690-1772484604408

0x38f2de66652b6600646e0fe8fa57f1980c118690

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.6
Realized PnL: $129.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460.27
Potential profit: $460.27
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.27
Potential profit: $54.27
User PnL: -$12.48

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $31.75
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.63
Potential profit: $25.63
User PnL: -$1

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $11.04
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

No position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $17.65
User PnL: -$3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.06
Potential profit: $12.06
User PnL: -$4

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.62
Potential profit: $7.62
User PnL: -$4.14

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $2.99
Potential profit: $1.18
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.85

No position

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.96

No position

Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.84

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.69

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.54

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 8?

Up 48% 20.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 8?

Yes 67% 2.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 8?

Yes 66% 16.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 8?

Yes 61% 16.39 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 21% 50.08 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 23% 17.39 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?

Yes 3.5% 10.41 shares
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?

Yes 7% 7.69 shares
Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat?

Yes 3.2% 25.64 shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

No 6% 33.33 shares