Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
guanda1990
0x38fdf3f7be9580b6610441245974953d7d8bc6bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.47K
- Realized PnL
- $2.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$88.26
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$104
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.96K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$174.25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $58.42
- Potential payout
- $920
- Potential profit
- $861.58
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $57.38
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $692.63
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.3%
- Current value
- $188.38
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $361.63
- Multiplier
- 2.92x
- User PnL
- $83.33
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540
- Potential profit
- $540
- User PnL
- -$102.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $522.72
- Potential profit
- $522.72
- User PnL
- -$220.63
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $49.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $350.6
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $9.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332.87
- Potential profit
- $332.87
- User PnL
- -$218.62
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $64.52
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $265.49
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 5?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$11.1
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $289.05
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $10.95
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255.71
- Potential profit
- $255.71
- User PnL
- -$71.67
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $231.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.22
- Potential profit
- $200.22
- User PnL
- -$81.27
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $173
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $197.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $121
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $79
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$184
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$44.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.82
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.34
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.53
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.4
No position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.11
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.45
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Eagles position
Eagles vs. Commanders
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.12
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 110 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.5% 920 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10% 400 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 220 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.2% 750 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No 93.7% 100 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 27.1% 150 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 96.7% 100 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 98% 100 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 62% 50 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No 98.7% 9.33 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 64% 100 shares