Polymarket Trader

0x3909...afd9

0x39090504087814e9ce7b1e21410039aff18aafd9

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $133.71
Realized PnL: $708.48
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $144.54
Potential profit: $134.56
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: -$4.52

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.23
Potential profit: $134.23
User PnL: -$45.48

No position

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $79.82
Potential payout: $92.28
Potential profit: $12.46
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $9.08

No position

Will Paradex launch a token by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.59
Potential profit: $88.59
User PnL: -$5.23

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $49
User PnL: -$6.37

Yes position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.3%
Current value: $20.03
Potential payout: $41.46
Potential profit: $21.43
Multiplier: 2.07x
User PnL: -$13.14

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $27.51
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$18.55

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $19.66
Potential profit: $15.24
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$2.88

No position

StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $15.26
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.74
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.24
Potential profit: $2.24
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.52
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.56
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.64

No position

Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $113.3

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.02

Yes position

Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.8

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.58

Yes position

Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.95

Yes position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.31

No position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.61

Yes position

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.68

Yes position

Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.64

Yes position

Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.56

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.61

Yes position

Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.07

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.6%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $10.69

Yes position

Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.03

No position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.04

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams make the playoffs?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.45

Yes position

Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Clemson win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

No position

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Yes 67% 1.49 shares
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Yes 33.9% 72 shares
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 6.4% 158.4 shares
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 37% 6 shares
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Yes 42% 27.47 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 48% 66 shares
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

No 77% 60.68 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 25% 80 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 50% 98 shares
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 17% 51 shares
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 18% 91 shares
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 17% 72 shares