Polymarket Trader

Bluffu

0x3911184dbcbcda15ada6bf7944eaa3c569066689

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.01K
Realized PnL: $47.08K
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$260

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $5.32K
Potential profit: $4.31K
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $10.47

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.7K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $3.03K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.45
Potential profit: $101.45
User PnL: -$14.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.7K

Republican position

House control after 2024 election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $887.1

Yes position

Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $519.65

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.62

No position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $240.44

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.76

No position

Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.99

Yes position

Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.41

No position

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.63

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.71

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$18.91

Yes position

Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40.04

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$65.98

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$138.39

No position

Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$153.12

No position

U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$394.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Yes 18.8% 5,318.24 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 27% 3,703.7 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 48% 2,083.33 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 2.6% 1,222.04 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 2.6% 1,000 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?

No 5% 1,000 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Yes 14.2% 101.45 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Yes 39.7% 1,000 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 27% 9,113.5 shares
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

No 21% 300 shares
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

No 21% 1,037.52 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

No 27% 2,491.2 shares