Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x3916718c8d8b9AEFAA56f87f66794475F790255c-1779132532856
0x3916718c8d8b9aefaa56f87f66794475f790255c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.8
- Realized PnL
- $0.43
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.9%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $2.76
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 4.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?Yes 1.8% 55.56 shares
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes 84% 1.19 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No 85% 1.18 shares
- Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?Yes 59% 2.12 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 62% 1.61 shares
- Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?Yes 47% 2.13 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 36.2% 2.76 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 44% 2.27 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 44% 2.27 shares