No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.17K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- User PnL
- -$1.35K
Polymarket Trader
RGBluey
0x391f4946c6a4b82baf69454edd173312ccfab017
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.96K
- Realized PnL
- $6.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $30.45
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$43.33
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $905.51
- Potential payout
- $927.3
- Potential profit
- $21.79
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $44.21
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $839.99
- Potential profit
- $839.99
- User PnL
- -$584.26
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $387.73
- Potential payout
- $469.97
- Potential profit
- $82.24
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$6.92
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $403.93
- Potential payout
- $424.97
- Potential profit
- $21.04
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $36.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $151
- Potential profit
- $146.85
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$63.8
Yes position
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $116.52
- Potential profit
- $116.46
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.2
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $108.24
- Potential payout
- $114
- Potential profit
- $5.76
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $44.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $91.26
- Potential payout
- $108
- Potential profit
- $16.74
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $11.57
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $78.44
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $12.91
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $57.09
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $6.63
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.61
Yes position
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.84
Yes position
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $463.71
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.11
No position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.23
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.84
Yes position
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.08
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.98
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.62
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.62
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.66
No position
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.45
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.84
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.66
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.1
Yes position
Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $185.86
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.86
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.38
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.71
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.03
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.19
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.07
Yes position
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.6
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 457.27 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 83% 12.7 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 93.7% 425 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 12.7% 133 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 51% 33.49 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 1% 3,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 0.9% 338.46 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?No 0.6% 450 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 9% 392 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 90.6% 200 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95.6% 300 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 1.5% 2,445 shares