Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.21K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- User PnL
- -$177.79
Polymarket Trader
0x392543E363a6b4B816D57F36eB643E2ED7B6D2F2-1771428592313
0x392543e363a6b4b816d57f36eb643e2ed7b6d2f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.31K
- Realized PnL
- $3.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $80.78
- Potential payout
- $2.69K
- Potential profit
- $2.61K
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- $27.79
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- User PnL
- -$35.2
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $134.62
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- $77.03
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$20
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$68.2
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- User PnL
- $852.45
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $41.3
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $965.98
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- $16.3
Morocco position
Spread: Morocco (-5.5)
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $907.67
- Potential profit
- $907.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Paraguay position
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $781.92
- Potential profit
- $781.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $634.06
- Potential profit
- $634.06
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $8.56
- Potential payout
- $611.11
- Potential profit
- $602.56
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $562.93
- Potential profit
- $562.93
- User PnL
- -$25.37
Senegal position
Spread: Senegal (-3.5)
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $547.99
- Potential profit
- $547.99
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $488.75
- Potential profit
- $488.75
- User PnL
- -$14
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $473.86
- Potential profit
- $473.86
- User PnL
- -$14
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.96
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.48
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.87
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.95
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.14
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.41
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.83
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.7
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.06
Y
Yes position
Japan leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes 4.8% 519.99 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes 5.9% 467.63 shares
- Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?Yes 9% 222.22 shares
- Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?Yes 7% 214.29 shares
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goals + assists AND Lionel Messi: 3+ shots on target9.8% 68.27 shares
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goals + assists AND Lionel Messi: 3+ shots on target9.8% 292.86 shares
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half AND England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half7.2% 132.64 shares
- Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals5.9% 323.73 shares
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goals + assists AND Lionel Messi: 3+ shots on target9.8% 97.55 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?Yes 31.5% 523.81 shares
- England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 2+ shots on target10.4% 137.76 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 1.9% 528.71 shares