Yes position
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $707.93
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$12.87
Polymarket Trader
justincognito
0x392a9329b8412666abae2552a39ede6e698e0975
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $766.18
- Realized PnL
- $19.99
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $58.25
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $690.29
- Potential profit
- $690.29
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.19
No position
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.8
Yes position
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 28% 2,574.29 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes 91% 156.25 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 7.7% 1,296.3 shares
- Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?No 20% 34.75 shares
- Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 39% 128.18 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes 64% 156.25 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 3.9% 1,266.26 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes 2.9% 690.29 shares