Polymarket Trader

0x392b...b7da

0x392be22632466cd57b72de696cc85d7886c2b7da

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $102.23
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $16.11
Potential payout: $466.82
Potential profit: $450.71
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$23.87

Yes position

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.19
Potential profit: $312.19
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $10.59
Potential payout: $302.57
Potential profit: $291.98
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$19.39

Yes position

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $9.4
Potential payout: $141.36
Potential profit: $131.96
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $35.47
Potential payout: $71.65
Potential profit: $36.18
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $53.37
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$5.42

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.72
Potential profit: $49.72
User PnL: -$16.06

Yes position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $41.85
Potential profit: $39.54
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$27.41

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16.62
Potential payout: $16.62
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.42
Potential payout: $7.42
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.38

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.93
Potential profit: $5.93
User PnL: -$5.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Yes 52.9% 15.27 shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?

Yes 9.9% 302.57 shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Yes 71% 41.85 shares
Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Yes 53% 56.38 shares
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?

Yes 8.6% 349.05 shares
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Yes 7.1% 141.36 shares
Trump out as President by March 31?

Yes 1.9% 526.32 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 16.9% 57.69 shares
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?

Yes 8.5% 117.76 shares
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

Yes 3.2% 312.19 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

No 89.6% 16.62 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 31.9% 31.5 shares