Midas-PM

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $36.49
Potential profit: $36.42
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.41
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.91
Potential payout: $23.67
Potential profit: $19.76
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $23.62
Potential profit: $22.27
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $22.5
Potential profit: $22.4
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $17.3
Potential profit: $16.76
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$1.53

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $11.21
Potential payout: $11.77
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.78

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $11.53
Potential profit: $9.17
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $8.21
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $6.38
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.1%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $7.87
Potential profit: $5.42
Multiplier: 3.22x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $6.86
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $4.63
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.32

Veronika Erjavec position

Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $6.05
Potential profit: $4.57
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.76

Joint position

Set Handicap: Joint (-1.5) vs Williams (+1.5)

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $5.46
Potential profit: $3.36
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $5.22
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.32
Potential payout: $5.12
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Sweden reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $4.47
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.6

Over position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02

Panthers position

Red Wings vs. Panthers

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86

Over position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

Dallas Wings position

Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

Blue Jackets position

Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Under position

Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Under position

Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Utah

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

Mavericks position

Spread: Suns (-11.5)

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52

Clippers position

Spread: Clippers (-4.5)

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Capitals position

Capitals vs. Blue Jackets

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Portland Fire position

Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Over position

Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 217.5

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Timberwolves position

Spread: Rockets (-10.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Over position

Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Pistons position

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Under position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-17.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Under position

Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Over position

Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5