Polymarket Trader

srgbrf

0x393d39d000b7b7f4fcea46dea54de662790f4dd7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $567.18
Realized PnL: -$2.03K
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $301.68
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $58.32
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $18

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $265.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $34.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $52.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $260.48

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93.4%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $17

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.9%
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: -$30.6

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$757.25

Down position

XRP Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.45K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

No 71% 300 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 22% 2,000 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 9% 21.66 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?

No 8% 1,322.01 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 91.6% 1,000 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 89.9% 1,000 shares
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

No 80.1% 700 shares
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

No 80.5% 700 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Yes 65% 1,000 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Yes 68% 1,000 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner

FURIA 64% 121 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner

FURIA 63% 121 shares