Polymarket Trader

shmilw

0x394876ad923e7667efcc321d6477905dbfdf9a89

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $793.34
Realized PnL: $3.99K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.1K
Potential profit: $6.1K
User PnL: -$1.4K

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.82K
User PnL: -$1.1K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.46K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.3%
Current value: $793.34
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: $293.34

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.54

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$81.4

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$137.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 24.1% 2,074.09 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?

Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 62% 3,026.68 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 60% 3,026.68 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 18% 555.63 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 49.8% 1,404.33 shares
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 34.7% 864.41 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Yes 94% 2,317.08 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Yes 94.4% 2,317.08 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Yes 43.9% 4,634.17 shares
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Yes 84% 2,423.55 shares
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Yes 9% 2,423.56 shares