Polymarket Trader

mordernladder

0x3955cc6b34478e7ceb3d25a2614e8ee42cb467f2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $89.52
Realized PnL: $616.91
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $89.52
Potential payout: $778.41
Potential profit: $688.89
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $29.52

Yes position

Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273.43
Potential profit: $273.43
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Korea Republic?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$10

Cabo Verde position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.37
Potential profit: $196.37
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.02
Potential profit: $170.02
User PnL: -$87.48

Yes position

Korea Republic leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.56
Potential profit: $155.56
User PnL: -$16

Under position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.75
Potential profit: $118.75
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.29
Potential profit: $114.29
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.97
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.18
Potential profit: $68.18
User PnL: -$15

Over position

Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.18
Potential profit: $68.18
User PnL: -$15

Over position

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.33
Potential profit: $53.33
User PnL: -$8

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $46.51
User PnL: -$20

Under position

Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.38
Potential profit: $40.38
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Morocco leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.75
Potential profit: $15.75
User PnL: -$2.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.78

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.53

Under position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.67

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.07

Paraguay position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.77

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.41

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.96

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.77

Over position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$70

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?

Yes 7.7% 778.41 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?

Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?

Yes 1.8% 277.78 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5

43.8% 112.26 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 29% 68.97 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?

7.5% 194.53 shares
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

10.9% 513.84 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance AND Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5 AND Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

36.5% 265.99 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 4.8% 103.78 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 32.4% 92.59 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 0.8% 66.66 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares