Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $9.18
- Potential payout
- $764.65
- Potential profit
- $755.48
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $4.17
Polymarket Trader
0x395e...34e2
0x395ef77971ebed2c91eb83995281039c776534e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $114.61
- Realized PnL
- -$12.5
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.76
- Potential payout
- $537.74
- Potential profit
- $533.98
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Chirayu Rana divorced?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $491.58
- Potential profit
- $490.11
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $194.5
- Potential profit
- $192.85
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
No position
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $85.22
- Potential payout
- $97.4
- Potential profit
- $12.17
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $58.24
- Potential profit
- $56.17
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $54.64
- Potential profit
- $54.26
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $39.71
- Potential profit
- $34.89
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $27.01
- Potential profit
- $26.39
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $10.26
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $2.87
- Potential payout
- $3.99
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
N
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
N
No position
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$8.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 1.4% 116.66 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 0.6% 679.3 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 1% 450 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 11.1% 81.05 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 1% 4.08 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 1.1% 91.82 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 0.4% 500 shares
- MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?Yes 6% 30.3 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?No 3% 7.68 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?No 16% 7.69 shares
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes 23% 10.26 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 2% 194.5 shares