No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $106.27
- Potential payout
- $106.43
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $0.27
Polymarket Trader
ty.eth
0x39615611f67f63245d5cf4daff91ba1d03057cb1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $180.42
- Realized PnL
- $38.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $39.98
- Potential payout
- $40.04
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $20.38
- Potential payout
- $20.57
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $2.1
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Solana dip to $170 October 13-19?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.53
Sun position
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Yafan Wang
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Thunder position
Nuggets vs. Thunder
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Alexandrova position
Pan Pacific Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jaqueline Cristian
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Miami (OH) position
Eastern Michigan vs. Miami (OH)
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
UCF position
West Virginia vs. UCF
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Temple position
Temple vs. Charlotte 49ers
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Cavaliers position
76ers vs. Cavaliers
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Lakers position
Wizards vs. Lakers
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Solana reach $300 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 106.43 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.6% 10.57 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99% 10.1 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No 99.9% 40.04 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes 58% 1.72 shares
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.4% 11.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 99.9% 100.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 99% 50.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No 98.3% 15.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?No 99.6% 86.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No 99.9% 20.02 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?No 99.8% 20.04 shares