Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $2.6K
- Potential payout
- $31.13K
- Potential profit
- $28.53K
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.63K
Polymarket Trader
Atlantislq
@Atlantislq
0x3968c3d8090406b6d4c6e29308331a9dc3292b0f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.94K
- Realized PnL
- $128.23K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.9%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $4.34K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- Multiplier
- 3.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.31K
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- User PnL
- -$2.4K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.79K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.49K
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.99K
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.12K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $870.08
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $739.37
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.93
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.54
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.06
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$104.03
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$187.88
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.2K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.14K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 61% 95.51 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 77% 3,114.46 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.5% 888 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 228 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 4,400 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.8% 2,100 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 85% 2,100 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.6% 12,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 84% 1,562.55 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 13.3% 931.7 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.6% 416.54 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 82.1% 585.62 shares