Polymarket Trader

Ilonkay

0x396a620ef81284738eb16b936ff9011c7fcdf575

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$32.78
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.38
Potential profit: $17.38
User PnL: -$5.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.91

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score

Yes 44% 2,306.82 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 98.9% 16.9 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 88.8% 16.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 27% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 68.9% 50.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 29.4% 17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 5.5% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 6.3% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 29.3% 33.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 57% 60 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 87.2% 83.3 shares