Polymarket Trader

lranon2nd

0x396f35c4d4f84c0a6c5f3b13e40e1de550367f78

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.22K
Realized PnL: $30.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.85K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$3.06K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.99K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: $21.01

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.98K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $117
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$19

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $70.67
Potential payout: $693.56
Potential profit: $622.89
Multiplier: 9.81x
User PnL: -$248.56

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $437.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$37.5

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $471.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $28.25
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $76.41

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $282.45
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $217.55
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$2.55

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $414.99
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 350.0k by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $12.21
Potential profit: $10.29
Multiplier: 6.37x
User PnL: $1.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.34K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.14K

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $1.8K

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $1.76K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get between 79 and 82 million views on week 1?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

No position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

No position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $968.1

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $961.81

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $956.95

Yes position

Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $919.36

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $896.2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $890

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $855.2

Yes position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $849.98

No position

Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $837.38

No position

Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $816.75

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $814

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 20.9% 30 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 19.8% 5 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 63.7% 5 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 82.6% 7.5 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 81.7% 62.5 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 46% 20.4 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 46% 20.4 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 55% 100.88 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 47% 899 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 45.9% 191 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 40% 808.18 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

No 37.3% 250 shares