Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $301.4
- Potential payout
- $17.22K
- Potential profit
- $16.92K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $98.15
Polymarket Trader
0x3974...cb78
0x3974f0e9701f1550b65176dd75728a2c8c65cb78
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $333.95
- Realized PnL
- $807.11
- Win rate
- 43.8%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$66.88
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$38.95
Over position
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$106.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$111.55
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $692.44
- Potential profit
- $691.61
- Multiplier
- 833.33x
- User PnL
- -$49.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $448.05
- Potential profit
- $447.82
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$63.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $317.9
- Potential profit
- $317.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.84
Y
Yes position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $22.23
- Potential payout
- $259.99
- Potential profit
- $237.76
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$11.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
France vs. England: O/U 7.5
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $872.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.81
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$34.53
Y
Yes position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$57.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$352.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?Yes 14% 71.6 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?Yes 13.5% 76.11 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?Yes 12.4% 112.28 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?Yes 0.2% 1,272.14 shares
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina 4.2% 235.29 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?Yes 1.6% 635.99 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?Yes 4% 251.49 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?Yes 5.3% 190.3 shares
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina 1.9% 526.32 shares
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina 8.7% 114.29 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 8% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 1.2% 861.14 shares