Yes position
Will Twice release a song in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.7%
- Current value
- $30.85
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $19.15
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Polymarket Trader
0x3981dD473a9510093701758E5329553cA3E00559-1775578637290
0x3981dd473a9510093701758e5329553ca3e00559
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.85
- Realized PnL
- $22.63
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.76
- Potential profit
- $28.76
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.01
- Potential profit
- $11.01
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp 23% 4.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp 32% 3.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp 44% 2.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp 20% 4.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown 96% 13.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp 42% 4.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp 37% 2.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp 40% 2.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETUp 28% 3.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown 15% 6.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown 23% 4.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETDown 50% 22.72 shares