No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $75.4
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $175.44
Polymarket Trader
0x398b...be1f
0x398bcdf9ed3a433d8d7b738a92a1dac864e9be1f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $3.02K
- Realized PnL
- $7.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $186.42
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$213.58
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $546.84
- Potential payout
- $574.71
- Potential profit
- $27.87
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $46.84
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $108.46
- Potential payout
- $560.54
- Potential profit
- $452.07
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- -$391.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $866.67
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $691.68
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $656.71
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $531.67
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.82
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411.56
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.6
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.15
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.16
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.66
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.09
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.97
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.08
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.35
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.7
Yes position
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.39
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.57
N
No position
Will Trump say "Oblivion" in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.61
No position
Will Trump say "N Word" in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.03
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.92
N
No position
Will Trump say "Microcosm" in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 38.2% 13,720.78 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 58.3% 8,157.49 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 57% 5,563.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 32.1% 1,058.51 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 53.7% 2,321.72 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 59.8% 849.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87.8% 2,325.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 70.4% 12,235.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 67.8% 5,243.56 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 55.6% 899.74 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 67% 746.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 58.9% 849.27 shares