Polymarket Trader

horiz0n

0x398dafc40ced1757f33a263d809f18666ba5c7c3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.9K
Realized PnL: $355.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.98K
Potential profit: $262.98K
User PnL: -$58.41K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226.62K
Potential profit: $226.62K
User PnL: -$89.02K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.44K
Potential profit: $137.44K
User PnL: -$40.02K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.03K
Potential profit: $114.03K
User PnL: -$13.62K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.44K
Potential profit: $103.44K
User PnL: -$3.31K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.64K
Potential profit: $99.64K
User PnL: -$4.15K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.64K
Potential profit: $70.64K
User PnL: -$7.77K

No position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.07K
Potential profit: $56.07K
User PnL: -$31.44K

No position

Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.13K
Potential profit: $52.13K
User PnL: -$13.88K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.03K
Potential profit: $50.03K
User PnL: -$1.9K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.24K
Potential profit: $44.24K
User PnL: -$7.52K

Canelo position

Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.69K
Potential profit: $41.69K
User PnL: -$23.63K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.27K
Potential profit: $39.27K
User PnL: -$2.6K

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.52K
Potential profit: $37.52K
User PnL: -$11.71K

No position

WLFI >$20B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34K
Potential profit: $34K
User PnL: -$11.21K

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $543.13
Potential payout: $31.95K
Potential profit: $31.41K
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$6.49K

No position

Chirayu Rana sued?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.62K
Potential profit: $30.62K
User PnL: -$7.61K

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.08K
Potential profit: $30.08K
User PnL: -$838.78

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $27.71K
Potential profit: $25.36K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$13.5K

No position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.44K
Potential profit: $26.44K
User PnL: -$13.44K

Phillies position

Phillies vs. Reds

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.5K
Potential profit: $25.5K
User PnL: -$13.26K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.26K
Potential profit: $25.26K
User PnL: -$2.41K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.22K
Potential profit: $19.22K
User PnL: -$211.43

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.18K
Potential profit: $17.18K
User PnL: -$3.74K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.61K

Yes position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31K

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.95K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.49K

No position

Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.78K

Yes position

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.68K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $117K July 14–20?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.24K

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.52K

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.27K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.88K

No position

Skye Valadez confirmed perp?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.53K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.44K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.52K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23K

No position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.81K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.62K

Veretennikov position

UFC 318: Prado vs. Veretennikov

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27K

Vikings position

Vikings vs. Bears

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15K

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6K

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $5.54K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27K

Yes position

Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

No 17% 13,393.71 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 6.5% 17,615.25 shares
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Yes 11% 1,078 shares
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

No 11.9% 5,922.53 shares
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

No 16% 7,326.58 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 56.7% 6,894.28 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 41.9% 100 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 46% 6,076.48 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 36% 8,384.01 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 34.2% 17,834.05 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 20% 29,752.45 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 15.7% 689.57 shares