No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $12.37
- Potential payout
- $46.67
- Potential profit
- $34.3
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$8.63
Polymarket Trader
Paoul1992
0x3991d10468617a369021fb8b9f85c60d4f873d0f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $423.83
- Realized PnL
- $41.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $20.3
- Potential payout
- $46.67
- Potential profit
- $26.37
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $13.62
- Potential payout
- $36.82
- Potential profit
- $23.2
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$6.7
Yes position
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $19.89
- Potential payout
- $31.82
- Potential profit
- $11.93
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $31.34
- Potential profit
- $10.34
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $23.01
- Potential payout
- $30.88
- Potential profit
- $7.88
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $30.52
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $22.33
- Potential payout
- $29.58
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $21.86
- Potential payout
- $28.77
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.86
N
No position
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $23.41
- Potential payout
- $28.38
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $21.41
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $5.86
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.41
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $26.7
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$6.27
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $15.89
- Potential payout
- $26.26
- Potential profit
- $10.37
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Over position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $26.25
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $21.38
- Potential payout
- $25.61
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $13.01
- Potential payout
- $25.02
- Potential profit
- $12.01
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $21.12
- Potential payout
- $24.71
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $21.61
- Potential payout
- $24.42
- Potential profit
- $2.81
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $21.14
- Potential payout
- $24.17
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $22.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $20.85
- Potential payout
- $22.44
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $7.79
- Potential payout
- $10.25
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $6.87
- Potential payout
- $8.23
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $7.88
- Potential profit
- $3.66
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.51
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
N
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?No 64% 25.02 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 61% 26.26 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No 60% 26.7 shares
- Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 74% 28.38 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?No 45% 46.67 shares
- Yoon out of custody before 2027?No 86.9% 24.17 shares
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No 88% 24.65 shares
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?No 55.2% 36.82 shares
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Over 80% 26.25 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 67% 31.34 shares
- Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 66% 31.82 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No 77% 27.27 shares