Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.21K
- Potential payout
- $4.81K
- Potential profit
- $601.22
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $163.57
Polymarket Trader
darts177
0x39a2734838377e2dc1124cc91f42883998ee293e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.21K
- Realized PnL
- $169.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$300
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.08
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.75
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.74
No position
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 84.5% 3,551.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83.1% 1,258.21 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 66.9% 1,580.58 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 68% 1,580.59 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 10% 3,000 shares
- Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No 98.1% 20.7 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 63% 37.03 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 94% 21.27 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 83% 24.09 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 99.9% 21.25 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 99.9% 20.79 shares
- Will Trump say "Third term" in March?No 99.5% 25.12 shares