Polymarket Trader

0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616

0x39aaed185b92e99a78249610cc14a589b764583c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $72.96K
Realized PnL: $388.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $14.51K
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $64.14K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $13.2K

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $78.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $78.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $10.11K
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $68.55K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $8.8K

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $78.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $78.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $78.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $10.82K
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $67.84K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: $9.5K

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $78.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $78.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $78.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $78.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $4.44K
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $74.21K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $3.13K

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $78.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $78.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $39.33
Potential payout: $78.65K
Potential profit: $78.62K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $7.83K
Potential payout: $63.88K
Potential profit: $56.06K
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $6.76K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $4.25K
Potential payout: $63.88K
Potential profit: $59.64K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $3.18K

Yes position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $20.12K
Potential payout: $63.88K
Potential profit: $43.76K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $210.18

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $415.25
Potential payout: $63.88K
Potential profit: $63.47K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$649.45

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.23K
Potential profit: $47.23K
User PnL: -$787.21

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.23K
Potential profit: $47.23K
User PnL: -$787.21

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.52K
Potential profit: $16.52K
User PnL: -$3.28K

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.3K
Potential profit: $16.3K
User PnL: -$49.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.12K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.36K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.76K

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.73K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.4K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.81K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.24K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.61K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.57K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.56K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.66K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.54K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.51K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.36K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.35K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.13K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.25K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.6K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.57K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.33K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.28K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.82K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.6K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.6% 370.61 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.4% 370.61 shares
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.6% 370.61 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 370.61 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.4% 370.61 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 29% 370.61 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.4% 370.61 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.8% 370.61 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 370.61 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 370.61 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.6% 370.61 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.5% 370.61 shares