Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $14.49
- Potential payout
- $46.73
- Potential profit
- $32.24
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Polymarket Trader
guignoldemort
0x39bdbaca4c14f390d78f363f465307d6a58ac040
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.49
- Realized PnL
- $27.58
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.8
- Potential profit
- $10.8
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.92
- Potential profit
- $8.92
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.56
- Potential profit
- $6.56
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?Yes 99.5% 3.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?Yes 89% 1.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?Yes 60% 2.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?Yes 34% 6.56 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 32.1% 46.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 21?Yes 16% 6.56 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 21?Yes 10% 10.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?Yes 14% 7.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?Yes 16% 6.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 21?Yes 16% 6.56 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 21?Yes 10% 10.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 21?Yes 14% 7.5 shares