Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $164.42
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $27.88
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$10.58
Polymarket Trader
Kimerley
@16sbHFlwiuGBxhE
0x39c19cf094298204fbbca36594855cd6efe4bf84
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $189.63
- Realized PnL
- $126.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $18.97
- Potential payout
- $19.42
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Alex de Minaur position
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Zachary Svajda
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.24
- Potential payout
- $6.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.68
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.88
Yes position
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Magic position
Jazz vs. Magic
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 91% 192.31 shares
- Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Zachary SvajdaAlex de Minaur 85% 6.24 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 92.7% 19.42 shares
- Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?Yes 90% 22.22 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 96% 22.92 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 26% 16.83 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 89.3% 30.24 shares
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes 65% 26.15 shares
- Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes 71.3% 16.83 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 99.5% 14.44 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 96.9% 14.45 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes 92.7% 24.82 shares