Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
aebonds
0x39c7c5541fe7b58e561d306e97b42e7bde960bba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $216.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.18K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.72K
Yes position
September temperature increase by between 1.23-1.28°C?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.45K
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.69K
Yes position
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?
Ends Sep 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65K
Yes position
Will 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' gross between $45m-50m opening weekend?
Ends Mar 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.32K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.24K
Yes position
Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $80m-90m opening weekend?
Ends Mar 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01K
Yes position
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
2024 August hottest on record?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
Will Mike Boudreaux win CA-20 Special Election?
Ends May 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $957.29
No position
2024 September hottest on record?
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.6
Yes position
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $771.64
Yes position
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $748.64
Yes position
Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of between 1.16°C and 1.22°C?
Ends Jul 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $672.33
No position
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $667.79
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $662.63
Yes position
2024 July hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.77
Yes position
Will Tim Walz say "Teacher" during CNN interview?
Ends Aug 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.25
No position
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'?
Ends Oct 16, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross more than $108m opening weekend?
Ends Jun 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes 99.8% 1.02 shares
- TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes 83.1% 1.3 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 91% 1.1 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?Yes 0.2% 1.04 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 89.8% 1.14 shares
- Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes 46% 2.17 shares
- GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?No 99.8% 6,904.37 shares
- Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes 99.9% 12,606.04 shares
- Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?No 99.9% 24,129.13 shares
- GOP wins popular vote by 2.25% or more?No 98.9% 6,904.37 shares
- Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?No 99% 83,473.79 shares
- Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross more than $70m opening weekend?No 98.6% 8,425.74 shares