Polymarket Trader

FriteKetchup

0x39c92a60e22998c07fc73f9ca8c9bd9598b5b108

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $741.59
Realized PnL: $1.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $149.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.15K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $17.41

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $30.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $219.38
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$6.12

Yes position

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.3
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $41.85
Potential payout: $124.92
Potential profit: $83.07
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $43.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $56.5
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $56.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $43.51
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$2.51

Senegal position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$41

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 26.1%
Current value: $26.12
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $73.88
Multiplier: 3.83x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 29.9%
Current value: $29.87
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $70.13
Multiplier: 3.35x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $53.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $46.5
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $32.5
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $24.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $75.5
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $64.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $35.5
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0

Over position

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 56.9%
Current value: $34.12
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $25.88
Multiplier: 1.76x
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Yassine Bounou record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $50.39
Potential profit: $49.76
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$6.79

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $8.94
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $41.07
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.5
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.25
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $32.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $17.75
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $13.25

Yes position

Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $29.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $20.75
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.75
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$15.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.75
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.16

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.6

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.5

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.99

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.78

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.89

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.7

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 25% 100 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 12% 25 shares
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 18% 50 shares
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Over 54% 60 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 2?

Yes 35% 3.07 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?

Yes 27% 8 shares
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 34% 99.99 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Yes 28% 50 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Over 49% 20 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Senegal 41% 100 shares
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 19% 100 shares