Polymarket Trader

asirasir

0x39cfcd5a7de576336cb749adf0387ab57a1821cd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $120.84
Realized PnL: $260.55
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $486.68
Potential profit: $486.68
User PnL: -$25.02

No position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.38
Potential profit: $113.38
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$68.2

Yes position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.84
Potential payout: $101.64
Potential profit: $80.81
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$9.16

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.22
Potential profit: $100.22
User PnL: -$34.08

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95
Potential profit: $95
User PnL: -$40.95

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.19
Potential profit: $87.19
User PnL: -$66

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.61
Potential profit: $68.61
User PnL: -$28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.95

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.64

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.24

Yes position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.83

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.19

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.52

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.43

No position

Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.95

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.45

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

Yes position

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 62% 110 shares
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Yes 43.1% 19.2 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 65% 100 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 6.6% 447.57 shares
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 88% 79.55 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 75.7% 87.19 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 66% 75.76 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 44% 90.91 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Yes 34% 97.51 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 30% 97.18 shares
Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?

No 65.9% 45.5 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Yes 44.1% 113.38 shares