No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $18.72K
- Potential payout
- $21.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.15K
Polymarket Trader
kekkone
@kekkospoly
0x39d0f1dca6fb7e5514858c1a337724a426764fe8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.25K
- Realized PnL
- $69.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.51K
- Potential payout
- $10.51K
- Potential profit
- $998.69
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.2K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $9.02K
- Potential profit
- $7.92K
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- $371.87
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $7.1K
- Potential payout
- $7.13K
- Potential profit
- $24.94
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $3.61K
- Potential payout
- $5.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $589.11
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.2K
- Potential payout
- $5.62K
- Potential profit
- $421.74
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $735.55
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $803.87
- Potential payout
- $5.04K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- -$71.42
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $4.93K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $67.49
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $2.74K
- Potential payout
- $4.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$724.6
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $3.2K
- Potential payout
- $3.35K
- Potential profit
- $150.92
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $719.54
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $389.98
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $1.72K
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $256.48
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $144.01
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.79K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $12.6
- User PnL
- $291.41
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $88
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $58
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $789.16
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $270.83
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $234.95
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $965.58
- Potential payout
- $993.39
- Potential profit
- $27.81
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $86.63
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $769.63
- Potential payout
- $832.03
- Potential profit
- $62.4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $267.56
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $337.24
- Potential payout
- $757.84
- Potential profit
- $420.6
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$81.77
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $594.55
- Potential payout
- $687.34
- Potential profit
- $92.79
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $54.78
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $495
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $105
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $531
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $69
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $576.89
- Potential profit
- $575.45
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$43.25
No position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.9%
- Current value
- $400.5
- Potential payout
- $541.95
- Potential profit
- $141.45
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $100.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.14K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $5.68K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 51% 776.71 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 11% 101 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 11% 162.25 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 67% 275.66 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 9.9% 250 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 9.8% 116.24 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 9.7% 15 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 9.9% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 43% 199.99 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 4% 28.54 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No 3.6% 1,374.08 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77% 5,000.25 shares