Polymarket Trader

0x39f61C469d23ffbCaB08075bCfC2B0eBb7DbAd6d-1778793680048

0x39f61c469d23ffbcab08075bcfc2b0ebb7dbad6d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $87.71
Realized PnL: $53.96
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $17.04
Potential payout: $120.48
Potential profit: $103.45
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $7.04

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $10.74
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $76.22
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $8.34
Potential payout: $60.24
Potential profit: $51.9
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $11.16
Potential payout: $56.5
Potential profit: $45.34
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $34.13
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $8.65
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $29.81
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $11.38
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $3.12
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $11.06
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $3.03
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.63

Yes position

Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 26% 38.46 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 71% 14.08 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 41% 24.39 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 66% 15.15 shares
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 69% 14.49 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 73% 13.7 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.3% 120.48 shares
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

No 1.1% 596.88 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 52.6% 19.01 shares
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

No 1.7% 596.88 shares