Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$298.75
Polymarket Trader
0x39fD1AEd55f09D466AA7D724F423F96aaDD35013-1770173559454
0x39fd1aed55f09d466aa7d724f423f96aadd35013
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.31K
- Realized PnL
- $1.01K
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.8
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $433.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.63
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.3
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$151.11
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$674.45
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$921.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Yes 1.7% 60 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 40% 200 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 62% 1,140 shares
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 14% 2,320.68 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 16% 2,365.91 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 70% 1,500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 70% 76 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 40% 1,300 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 39% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?Yes 5% 404.74 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?Yes 6.1% 35.27 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?Yes 6.2% 240 shares