Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
Qwertyjac - 35169
0x3a0bf03a9854827ec4e38206b81c9b9902bcda3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.25K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.35
- Potential profit
- $349.35
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.34
- Potential profit
- $74.34
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $802.26
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.38
Y
Yes position
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.85
No position
Will Ben Carson be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.11
No position
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.07
No position
Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election?
Ends Aug 3, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.84
No position
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July?
Ends Aug 11, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.92
No position
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.64
No position
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.74
Yes position
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Mavericks by more than 2.5 points in their January 20 matchup?
Ends Jan 20, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.27
No position
Will Black Widow gross more than $87.5M domestically on opening weekend?
Ends Jul 13, 2021- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13.37
Yes position
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June?
Ends Jul 13, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
No position
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?
Ends Dec 2, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 119789284.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 5911553.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will Solana (SOL) reach an all-time high by January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 4340474.16x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 42% or higher on July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2021- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 107.95x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021?
Ends May 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 37795081.66x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 18903574.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
No position
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
Ends Oct 5, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the next recession in the US happen in Q4 2021?
Ends Jan 27, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 3783599.50x
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes 14.3% 349.35 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes 2.5% 1,000 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes 11.3% 74.34 shares
- Commanders vs. EaglesCommanders 28% 142.86 shares
- Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?Yes 4.5% 389.22 shares
- Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days?Yes 5.5% 147.27 shares
- Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days?Yes 3.7% 135.14 shares
- Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?Yes 5.7% 105.26 shares
- Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?Yes 1.7% 329.41 shares
- Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?Yes 4.1% 95.37 shares
- Will Bernie Sanders be a member of the Trump administration?Yes 1.6% 531.25 shares
- Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?No 1.7% 250 shares