Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $7.87K
- Potential payout
- $43.13K
- Potential profit
- $35.26K
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$4.34K
Polymarket Trader
abundance11
0x3a0e075154f30c8ab79ab7765fec4733ff0a0ba6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.91K
- Realized PnL
- -$582.04
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700.55
- Potential profit
- $700.55
- User PnL
- -$134.76
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$37.8
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107
- Potential profit
- $107
- User PnL
- -$13.91
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $38.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $61.95
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$14.95
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$13.88
Yes position
Megaquake by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.68
No position
Trump announce run for 3rd term?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.81
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$83.27
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$116.07
No position
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$882.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 14.6% 20 shares
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31?Yes 69.9% 22.22 shares
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31?Yes 79.9% 38.33 shares
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31?Yes 50% 100 shares
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks by December 31?Yes 31% 40 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?Yes 0.2% 609.92 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?Yes 16% 100 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?Yes 15% 9.94 shares
- Trump announce run for 3rd term?No 96% 914.22 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 29% 26,629.84 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 29% 1,000 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No 43.8% 877.19 shares