Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $266.73
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- Multiplier
- 12.66x
- User PnL
- $236.73
Polymarket Trader
Moldevort
0x3a12a3cfa201216af48b42667c9885769a955636
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $278.78
- Realized PnL
- -$75.74
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- -$7.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.58
- Potential profit
- $28.58
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.05
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.29
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.48
Yes position
Will Justin Rose win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.37
No position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will Shane Lowry win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Corey Conners win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Bitcoin above $113,000 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.21
No position
TikTok banned in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?Yes 0.9% 3,376.36 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Yes 0.9% 1,064.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp 11.9% 63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown 83% 12.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp 80% 12.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp 70.1% 142.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp 45% 22.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp 35% 28.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp 34% 32.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp 31% 32.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp 65.6% 152.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETUp 22% 4.03 shares