No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $565.27
- Potential payout
- $7.64K
- Potential profit
- $7.07K
- Multiplier
- 13.51x
- User PnL
- $64.29
Polymarket Trader
funkyfella
0x3a4787bb2a3154e90751adc11b19f8c149e0ca9e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $565.27
- Realized PnL
- $154.3
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.25K
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $401.61
- Potential profit
- $401.61
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US strike Nigeria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $331.89
- Potential profit
- $331.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $252.5
- Potential profit
- $252.5
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.78
- Potential profit
- $119.78
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.9
- Potential profit
- $51.9
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.29
- Potential profit
- $35.29
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.22
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $85.8
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.78
Yes position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.09
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.63
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.87
Yes position
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$16.97
Yes position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 6.3% 1,780.46 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 57.9% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 6.3% 3,158.73 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 6.3% 2,391.44 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?No 80.1% 75.86 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.1% 888.88 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No 73% 222.22 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 13% 308.19 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 12% 240 shares
- Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?Yes 2.9% 215 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 13% 240 shares
- Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?Yes 1.2% 1,085.71 shares