N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $282.11
- Potential payout
- $326.89
- Potential profit
- $44.78
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$5.82
Polymarket Trader
sbsbfbvxbv
0x3a48f986f2ceca9bb54a3cece6b28db14ab1ca1d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $282.11
- Realized PnL
- $82.71
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.71
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.27
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.91
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.52
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$13.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 87.7% 7.53 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 87.7% 18.18 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 87.6% 11 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 8% 100 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 89.2% 277.73 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 99.9% 231.5 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?No 99.9% 202.77 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?No 91.6% 202.77 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 93.8% 197.83 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 89.8% 95.66 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 87.3 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 84.5% 102.18 shares