Polymarket Trader

SpecterOdds

0x3a4e36fd3e86d0b63720bca069f1ffa04bdc5c16

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $621.8
Realized PnL: $35.58
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $294.88
Potential payout: $880.22
Potential profit: $585.35
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$81.13

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $159.26
Potential payout: $159.57
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $9.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $12.06
Potential payout: $126.98
Potential profit: $114.92
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $21.67
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $81.78
Multiplier: 4.77x
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.1%
Current value: $46.01
Potential payout: $79.26
Potential profit: $33.25
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $16.84
Potential payout: $73.38
Potential profit: $56.54
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.57
Potential profit: $65.57
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $65.24
Potential profit: $60.35
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.5
Potential profit: $52.5
User PnL: -$19.95

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $51.85
Potential payout: $52.08
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $48.3
Potential profit: $46.32
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $3.76
Potential payout: $16.33
Potential profit: $12.57
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $8.6
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $4.73
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.07
Potential profit: $6.07
User PnL: -$2.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.66

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.52

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $7.16

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 75% 13.33 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Yes 30.6% 16.33 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

Yes 10.4% 48.3 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Yes 7.9% 126.98 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?

Yes 7.7% 65.24 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 59.1% 3.3 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 59.2% 75.96 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 41% 6.07 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 57% 17.54 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 72% 13.89 shares