No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.47K
- Potential profit
- $6.47K
- User PnL
- -$3.35K
Polymarket Trader
FishermansFiend
0x3a591e337729dd9f891f6d94ba77d01c3a626c6f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.3K
- Realized PnL
- $4.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.78K
- Potential payout
- $3.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$59.19
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $3.88K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$913.04
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $3.08K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- User PnL
- -$628.03
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $673.27
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $910.89
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$490.73
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $112.79
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$321.03
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $883.03
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $302.25
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $135.44
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $449.04
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $702.35
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$257.66
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $822.15
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $225.17
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$12.41
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $840
- Potential payout
- $971.1
- Potential profit
- $131.1
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $84.15
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $397.01
- Potential payout
- $742.07
- Potential profit
- $345.06
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$123.13
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $105.4
- Potential payout
- $569.73
- Potential profit
- $464.33
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$103.78
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $5.53
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $520.79
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$4.47
N
No position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $423.12
- Potential payout
- $519.23
- Potential profit
- $96.11
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $325.95
- Potential payout
- $475.84
- Potential profit
- $149.89
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$51.05
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $401.16
- Potential payout
- $469.19
- Potential profit
- $68.03
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
N
No position
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $348.57
- Potential payout
- $461.68
- Potential profit
- $113.11
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$60.61
N
No position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.4%
- Current value
- $394.31
- Potential payout
- $451.15
- Potential profit
- $56.85
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$14.87
N
No position
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.9%
- Current value
- $336.17
- Potential payout
- $448.83
- Potential profit
- $112.66
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$73
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $386.91
- Potential payout
- $444.72
- Potential profit
- $57.81
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $11.73
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $365.42
- Potential payout
- $399.36
- Potential profit
- $33.95
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$8.79
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $368.95
- Potential payout
- $398.86
- Potential profit
- $29.91
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $374.35
- Potential profit
- $374.35
- User PnL
- -$127.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.88
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.02
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.61
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $257.97
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.25
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $186.55
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.82
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.8
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.28
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.68
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $76.21
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.89
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $73.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.49
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.67
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $27.64
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 92% 1,625.63 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 86% 320.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 336.83 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 54% 511.48 shares
- Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 90.1% 61.31 shares
- Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 86.5% 63.89 shares
- Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 86.5% 63.85 shares
- Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 82.7% 66.8 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 36% 153.44 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 62.8% 109.92 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 42.7% 161.84 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 19.4% 355.49 shares