Polymarket Trader

i.newton

0x3a595f446970c729af8e10224ec865d5de30c2b6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.39K
Realized PnL: $1.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $279.95
Potential profit: $275.33
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.68

No position

Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $199.47
Potential payout: $200.17
Potential profit: $0.7
User PnL: $5.89

No position

Will "SWIM - BTS" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $160.01
Potential payout: $160.25
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $151.85
Potential payout: $160.01
Potential profit: $8.16
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $18.84

No position

Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $142.71
Potential payout: $145.32
Potential profit: $2.62
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $115.7
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $14.3
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $7

No position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 24 be between 80 and 85?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $89.37
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $0.63
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Ed Sheeran be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $72.7
Potential payout: $82.15
Potential profit: $9.45
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $59.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $20.8
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $72.33
Potential payout: $72.95
Potential profit: $0.62
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $13.1
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $32.89
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$12.97

No position

Will Gracie Abrams have a #1 hit in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $44.22
Potential payout: $45.56
Potential profit: $1.34
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $37.84
Potential payout: $38.38
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $37.33
Potential payout: $37.42
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $33.1
Potential payout: $33.3
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Gracie Abrams have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $31.86
Potential payout: $32.25
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $30.69
Potential profit: $29.15
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$8.78

No position

Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $29.84
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $7.34

No position

Will Eminem be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.4%
Current value: $19.67
Potential payout: $25.43
Potential profit: $5.76
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 24 be between 85 and 90?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $24.79
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $16.72
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $3.29
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Drake have a #1 hit in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $11.33
Potential payout: $11.61
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will "GOAT" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.11

No position

Will "MLB Opening Night: Yankees vs. Giants" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.7

No position

Will "Beauty in Black: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.23

No position

Will Sydney Sweeney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.45

Yes position

Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.58

Yes position

Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.08

Yes position

Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.11

Yes position

Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.52

Yes position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.2

No position

Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.09

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.57

Yes position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be between 85 and 90?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.75

No position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 11 be between 70 and 80?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.17

No position

Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.33

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.38

Yes position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 70 and 80?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.01

Yes position

Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.68

Yes position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 80 and 90?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.94

No position

Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.56

No position

Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Yes position

Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.83

Yes position

Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.82

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 124 billion views by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.66

Yes position

Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

No 99% 33.3 shares
Will "GOAT" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

No 99% 10 shares
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

No 98.8% 38.38 shares
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

No 99% 5 shares
Will "Swapped" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

No 99% 5 shares
Will "GOAT" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

No 99% 5 shares
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

No 12% 1.84 shares
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

No 98.5% 20 shares
Will Billie Eilish be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2026?

No 92% 11.87 shares
Will Gracie Abrams have a #1 hit in June?

No 93% 20.94 shares
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

No 97.3% 65.32 shares
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

No 97.9% 37.42 shares