Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $553.61
- Potential payout
- $753.21
- Potential profit
- $199.6
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $18.83
Polymarket Trader
0x3a5d...ac50
0x3a5d36cf924bb1f9930179714e29419cc3e4ac50
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $948.81
- Realized PnL
- $176.32
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $395.2
- Potential payout
- $415.78
- Potential profit
- $20.58
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$4.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.13
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.72
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.92
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 61.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$7.04
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39%
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- -$88.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 63.2% 41.52 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 96.7% 14.2 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 96% 510.46 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 61.7% 41.52 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97% 14.2 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.5% 232.77 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 74.5% 23.38 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 98.9% 902.15 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 58.4% 1,244.45 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 74.8% 14.29 shares
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 45% 1,111.25 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.1% 45.78 shares