No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $108.72
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $70.35
Polymarket Trader
nintendan
0x3a70ab7e867ed08e2a64d7a411f1a4b57d142f2f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.35K
- Realized PnL
- $51.72
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $35.1
- Potential payout
- $961.54
- Potential profit
- $926.44
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$14.9
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $142.55
- Potential payout
- $621.12
- Potential profit
- $478.57
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $42.55
Patriots position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.5
- Potential profit
- $212.5
- User PnL
- -$50
Portugal position
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.25
- Potential profit
- $137.25
- User PnL
- -$70
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.08
- Potential profit
- $132.08
- User PnL
- -$70
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.19
Yes position
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-3.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal 51% 137.25 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain 53% 132.08 shares
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany 54% 92.59 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 961.54 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 621.12 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 1,279.07 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 74% 189.19 shares
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots 20% 150 shares
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots 32% 62.5 shares
- Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?Yes 76% 10.53 shares